6
Banker's Hours
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | −1 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 12/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |