Uncaptured Moment
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |