King Kadooment

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 67

Woodbine · Race 3 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-13	Woodbine	?	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-08-23	Woodbine	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-19	Woodbine	?	9th	8th	+1	1.6
2026-05-31	Woodbine	?	3rd	2nd	+1	7.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength97%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
31/05/2026	3rd	14/1	26%	60%	+0.34
19/07/2026	9th	25/1	0%	20%	+0.20
23/08/2026	2nd	15/2	61%	86%	+0.25
13/09/2026	5th	33/1	0%	20%	+0.20