1
Little Lola
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 4 - Optional Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |