Mighty Tanner
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 4 - Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |