Princess Jade
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 4 - Optional Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 02/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 54% | -0.12 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |