6
Tap My Desire
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 4 - Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |