Alluring Amy
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |