2
Complex Secret
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 09/08/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |