6
Momanda
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 62
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |