11

Ruthless Action

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 69

Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 09/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 79 · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 79 par9/08C6OR 79C5 @ Fort Erie 09/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 6f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 79 parC7 @ Woodbine 12/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 81 par12/10C7OR 81C8 @ Woodbine 01/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Woodbine 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fas 121 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 78 par23/11C8OR 78C5 @ Fort Erie 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 71 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Fort Erie 20/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 69 par20/07C5OR 69C5 @ Fort Erie 17/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Woodbine 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 65 par11/09C8OR 65projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-08-17Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-07-20Fort Erie?7th4th+3
2026-07-06Fort Erie?2nd-1th+3
2025-11-23Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2025-11-01Woodbine?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/081/1120/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
09/09/20252nd25/10%89%+0.89
12/10/20255th9/153%33%-0.19
01/11/20257th3/184%25%-0.59
23/11/20252nd7/163%80%+0.17
06/07/20262nd7/491%67%-0.24
20/07/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
17/08/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
11/09/20265th4/179%20%-0.59