10

Scat Humor

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 70

Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 18/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f 122 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 66 par18/07C9OR 66C7 @ Woodbine 31/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 68 parC9 @ Woodbine 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 67 par21/08C9OR 67C8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 66 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 67 par25/06C8OR 67C8 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 121 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 67 parC7 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 68 par8/08C7OR 68C8 @ Woodbine 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Woodbine 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 7f110y Fm 121 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 73 par11/09C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-08-27Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-08-08Woodbine?7th6th+1
2026-07-23Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25Woodbine?8th8th0
2026-06-06Woodbine?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/076/068/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
31/07/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
21/08/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
06/06/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
25/06/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
23/07/20262nd20/10%90%+0.90
08/08/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
27/08/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
11/09/20264th9/153%57%+0.05