Skydigger
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |