7

Starla

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 86

Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 2f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Fm 1187/06C6C6 @ Woodbine 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 1m1f Fas 120 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 85 par16/08C6OR 85C6 @ Woodbine 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 84 · 1m2f Gd 120 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 84 par5/09C6OR 84projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Woodbine?1st2nd−1
2026-08-16Woodbine?5th6th−1
2026-06-07Churchill Downs?10th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0616/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +50.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/202610th25/10%0%0.00
16/08/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
05/09/20261st20/10%100%+1.00