5
Deanna
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |