1
Illy
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |