IvyArcIvyArc
3

Let It All Out

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 77

Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS11/07C6C6 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 88 par8/08C6OR 88C7 @ Woodbine 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 79 · 6f 120 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 79 par22/08C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-08-08Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-07-11Woodbine?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/078/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +9.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
08/08/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
22/08/20265th11/271%33%-0.38