5
Enchanted Forest
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |