7
Monty's Inn
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 74
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |