Reach For The Top
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |