1
Worry Less
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/08/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |