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14:20 · Killarney

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

1m 3f 50yYielding to SoftClass 13YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Top Pick1
OR 102
8/1
Caught U Sleeping silks

Anthony Clarke

Caught U Sleeping

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 11

Cotai Glory - Parasail (New Approach)

Adam CaffreyN Meade60%
812334
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓0

Found improvement when winning listed race at Naas in May and better form when making the frame in Group 2 and Group 3s since, sticking to her task over a barely adequate trip when fourth in a Group 3 at Gowran (9.5f, soft, 12/1) 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/059/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par24/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par4/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par14/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par19/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%4/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%24/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%14/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%19/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-655/100
9
Value2
OR 91
20/1
Alphecca silks

Gerard Kervick & Crampscastle Bloodstock Ltd

Alphecca

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6

Sioux Nation - Nepali (The Gurkha)

Gary Carroll60%2/8J G Murphy80%
117982
4.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Ended last season with back-to-back wins in a course maiden and valuable sales race at Naas. Struggled on handicap debut/Group 3 races in the spring but yard is going much better now and she resumed progress back from a break when second in this headgear in Listowel handicap 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/1012/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par27/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par4/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par23/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par21/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%27/04Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 13%23/05Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 93%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%2-845/100
7
5
OR 102
6/1
Shaihaan silks

Al Shaqab Racing

Shaihaan

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 10

Night Of Thunder - Sea Of Faith (Sea The Stars)

Chris Hayes60%0/1Donnacha O'Brien
414355
4.0Class ↓1

Convincing winner of Curragh maiden on reappearance and highly tried after, his best effort coming when third in the Gallinule Stakes. This looks more his level and easier going could also be a plus. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0928/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par10/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par23/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par28/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par30/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%27/09Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%10/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%28/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%30/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%1-832/100
3
3
OR 95
8/1
Latin America silks

D Smith,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,Westerberg

Latin America

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3

Gleneagles - Carrie's Vision (Oasis Dream)

Ben Coen70%1/3J P Murtagh60%
213
6.0Going 7.0

Confirmed debut promise when landing the odds in 18-runner maiden at Navan in April. Shaped well considering the drop in trip seemed to be against him in a useful event at Naas the following month. Off since (gelded) but likely more to come over this distance.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0325/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0417/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%28/03Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%17/05
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%6-772/100
1
Market Fav8
OR 109
9/4
Action silks

Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier

Action

3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 1

Frankel - Gossamer Wings (Scat Daddy)

Wayne Lordan60%1/6A P O'Brien
207680
2.0Class ↓1

Smart effort when second in the Dante at York in May but mainly used as a pacemaker since, often having hard races. Difficult to know how much ability/enthusiasm he retains.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/056/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par28/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par25/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par19/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%14/05Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%28/06Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%19/08Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%1-285/100
2
4
OR 88
16/1
Back Straight silks

Back Straight Partnership

Back Straight

3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 2

Sea The Moon - Hippy Hippy Shake (Danehill Dancer)

Seamie HeffernanM O'Callaghan60%
21
6.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

Showed plenty in Punchestown maidens a year apart, landing the odds in a tongue strap 3 weeks ago. This much harder but he remains with potential.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0915/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 1m 3f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%16/09Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%8-871/100
5
7
OR 97
10/1
Manton Bay silks

MRC International

Manton Bay

3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 8

Ulysses - Synergy (Victory Note)

Billy Lee60%D Marnane60%
282125
4.0Going 8.0

Remains steadily progressive and got off the mark for the year at this track in August. Beaten only by a smart prospect in the Irish Cambridgeshire the following week and backed up that effort when fifth of 22 in handicap at the Curragh (1¼m, good to soft) 22 days ago, not ideally placed.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/0528/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par29/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par13/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%16/05Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 53%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%23/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 94%29/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 81%13/09
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%2-755/100
10
6
OR 85
25/1
Garden Party silks

D Smith,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,Westerberg

Garden Party

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5

Wootton Bassett - Roly Poly (War Front)

Gavin RyanA P O'Brien
2210
4.0Going 7.0

Runner-up to stablemates both starts last year and went one better in a maiden at Cork on return. However, limitations seemingly exposed in Group 3 at the Curragh last month.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/1027/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/1014/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0829/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 25%Dist: 1m 3f 50y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%18/10Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 91%27/10Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 8%29/08
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%7-876/100