Amie's Symphony
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |