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12:59 · Nottingham

Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 6fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 78
6/1
Russian Rumour silks

Fillies First

Russian Rumour

9yo Mare · 10-0 · Draw 7

Make Believe - Russian Rave (Danehill Dancer)

Donagh Murphy60%1/2−5lbJ G Portman60%
134333
6.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Veteran who continues to look as good as ever, winning 4-runner contest at Nottingham (1¾m) in May. Largely performed well in defeat since, though she was a bit lacklustre back on heavy ground at Goodwood latest.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/0526/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par7/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par23/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par4/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%7/06Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%4/08Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%29/08
Projected finish1st of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-648/100
5
3
OR 78
5/1
Hello Friend silks

Ace Stud

Hello Friend

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 6

Frankel - Lucrece (Pivotal)

C Lee70%0/1K R Burke60%
22425
5.0

Frankel filly who took a step forward when beaten a nose in 5-runner event at Newmarket (1¾m) on her handicap debut in August. Unable to build on that at Newbury since but this stiffer test is more suitable.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0516/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%19/05Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%16/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 77%27/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%15/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%18/09
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%1-645/100
4
2
OR 79
9/2
Reem Rak silks

Mr Hussain Alabbas Lootah

Reem Rak

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 1

Zarak - Elisa Again (Champs Elysees)

Ray Dawson60%0/4R Varian60%
302136
5.0Class ↓2

Improved stepping up to this trip when a wide-margin winner of a 3-runner event at Doncaster. Hiked up 10 lb but proved she's still on a workable mark when just failing to follow up at Newmarket. Not disgraced back on softer ground at Haydock since.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/1226/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par15/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%13/12Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%4/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%15/08Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-734/100
6
4
OR 75
5/1
Tabasko silks

Chris Stedman

Tabasko

3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 5

Too Darn Hot - Frankel's Storm (Frankel)

K Shoemark60%0/1E Walker
452215
5.0Going 10.0

Off the mark when narrow winner of 4-runner handicap at Lingfield (1¾m) this summer. Ran up to her best when fifth of 10 at Chester since.

Class Advantage

24/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par24/1123/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par4/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%24/11Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%1/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%4/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%19/09
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-648/100
7
7
OR 68
14/1
Palomezcal silks

Elb Bloodstock Ltd

Palomezcal

3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2

Space Blues - Penelopa (Giant's Causeway)

Saffie Osborne70%D Menuisier80%
904
3.0

Shaped encouragingly on her qualifying run at Kempton when last seen in June, very slowly away but staying on under hands and heels. Stable has finally started having winners again in recent weeks and has to be of interest upped appreciably in trip for handicap debut.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0414/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0510/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength53%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 11%24/04Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%14/05Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 57%10/06
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-365/100
2
Market Fav5
OR 76
3/1
Nowshesdancing silks

The Equema Partnership Ii

Nowshesdancing

4yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 4

Teofilo - Sirajiah (Exceed And Excel)

Kaiya Fraser70%0/4Harry Eustace
136324
5.0

Made a winning start in Dundalk maiden in January for Mark Fahey. Good third at Wetherby on yard debut on return in April and proved her handicap bow wasn't a true reflection when making the frame last 3 starts, shaping as if this longer trip will suit. Can remain competitive.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0126/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par16/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%28/01Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%8/06Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%23/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%16/09
Projected finish6th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%2-657/100
3
6
OR 76
5/1
Nightsinwhitesatin silks

David Kilburn, Mrs Corbett, Chris Wrig

Nightsinwhitesatin

4yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 3

Dark Angel - Silver Games (Verglas)

D Tudhope60%E Bethell60%
422246
5.0Class ↓2
1st Visor +2

Course winner last summer. In the frame first 6 starts (runner-up 4 times) this season before not seen to best effect at Newbury last time. Ought to be thereabouts again if seeing out this longer trip (can race freely). Change of headgear.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0521/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 79%8/05Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%10/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%3/09Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%18/09
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%4-676/100