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13:59 · Nottingham

British Stallion Studs EBF Nursery (GBBPlus Race)

1m 2f 50yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 77
3/1
Crown Ranger silks

Mr Mohamed Rashid Hamdan Al Saadi

Crown Ranger

2yo Colt · 9-9 · Draw 5

Camelot - Mary Pickersgill (Starspangledbanner)

S De Sousa60%M Botti
65334
5.0Going 7.0Class ↓1

Wasn't beaten far by a subsequent listed winner in a slowly-run race on qualifying outing at Sandown (1m) and improved when third on nursery debut over the same C&D last month. Didn't see 9f out as well as might have been expected at Yarmouth latest and he's now up an extra 1f.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/0513/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 0%21/05Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%13/06Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%6/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%11/09Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%17/09
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-276/100
3
Market Fav3
OR 72
13/8
Akaraka silks

Mr I Madueke

Akaraka

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3

Ghaiyyath - Luire (Dark Angel)

H Crouch60%M L W Bell60%
7872
4.0

Brought along steadily over inadequate trips in maiden/novices and on the back of a gelding operation, he showed more when second of 9 in a 1m nursery at Thirsk a month ago. Further step up in distance can only help his cause.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0610/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0727/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/075/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%13/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%10/07Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%27/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-182/100
2
Value2
OR 77
8/1
Kanzi silks

Mr Iain Service

Kanzi

2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 4

Ghaiyyath - Mia Tesoro (Danehill Dancer)

Callum Shepherd70%1/2C Johnston
215
6.0Class ↓1

Ghaiyyath filly who confirmed the promise of her Ayr debut second when landing the odds over 1m at Lingfield (all-weather) in August. Folded quite tamely on nursery debut 3 weeks later but she's in the right hands and given a break, she now goes up in distance.

Class Advantage

27/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/078/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/0827/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%27/07Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%5-577/100
4
4
OR 67
8/1
Foscarini silks

Mick and Janice Mariscotti

Foscarini

2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 2

Without Parole - Daring Destiny (Mehmas)

Charles Bishop60%0/4Eve Johnson Houghton80%
5629
3.0

Took a step forward on his third run when second of 5 in novice at Brighton in August. However, he wasn't in the same form when down the field in nursery at Newbury last time, unable to get away with racing freely on that occasion. Now goes up significantly in distance.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/061/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/076/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0826/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%9/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%1/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%6/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%26/08
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-363/100
5
5
OR 56
3/1
Northern Viola silks

Northern Water Services & Graham Lund

Northern Viola

2yo Filly · 8-2 · Draw 1

Stradivarius - Northern Queen (Dark Angel)

J P Sullivan60%1/2J & S Quinn
55741
6.0Class ↓1

Became first winner sired by Stradivarius when landing 5-runner nursery at Beverley 3 weeks ago, suited by increase in trip to 8.5f. Limit not yet reached as stamina is drawn out further so has to be of major interest.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0622/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%15/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%22/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%3/07Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 63%5/09Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%16/09
Projected finish5th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-276/100