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12:50 · Sedgefield

Mowden Park RFC Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 178yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
4/1
Arms Park silks

Mr W Phillip Evans

Arms Park

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Walk In The Park - Sparron Hawk (Hawker's News)

Adam Wedge60%0/1Mrs C Williams60%
231
8.0Going 8.0

Half-brother to 4 winners, including useful hurdler Out of The Loop. Put his experience to good use when making all in Taunton bumper in March and rates an interesting hurdling debutant.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/0927/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/1124/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%21/09Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%27/11Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/03
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-273/100
7
3
3/1
Military Cross silks

Jt Roofing & Sprayclad Uk Ne

Military Cross

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Nathaniel - Moraine (Rainbow Quest)

Jonathan England60%S England60%
2
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Placed all 7 starts on the Flat for the Gosdens. Too free on stable debut but this half-brother to high-class hurdler Wicklow Brave made a decent start in this sphere at Cartmel when chasing home a subsequent 2-time winner.

Class Advantage

27/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par27/1020/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/11 · mark par15/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/12 · mark par30/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%27/10Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 82%15/12Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 19%13/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%27/05
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%2-574/100
6
Market Fav4
9/4
John Galt silks

Mr Rupert Lowe

John Galt

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Elvstroem - Nantucket (Sea The Stars)

Liam Harrison60%0/1F O'Brien
3
5.0
Tongue strap

Didn't look entirely straightforward on the Flat for Jamie Osborne but he did win a handicap in May. Ran to a similar level when third of 6 at Newton Abbot on hurdles bow but that form has taken some knocks.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/0423/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%5/04Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%5/07Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-660/100
2
2
OR 103
13/2
Dunstall Star silks

Mr Simon W Clarke

Dunstall Star

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Telescope - Toungara (Smadoun)

Jack Hogan60%T R George60%
61F25
5.0

From a family the yard knows well and confirmed debut promise when getting up late in slowly-run Exeter bumper. Hurdles debut didn't go to plan but much more like it when second to Skelton hotpot at Warwick. Bit disappointing next time but worth another chance back from a break/breathing operation.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0117/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/043/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/061/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%15/01Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%3/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%1/07
Projected finish4th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%1-927/100
9
8
5/1
Mia Sunshine silks

Mr Martin Gowing

Mia Sunshine

4yo Filly · 10-10

Sea The Moon - Monami (Sholokhov)

Shane Fenelon60%−5lbM Bowen
4
4.0Class ↓3

Won twice at around 1m on the Flat for Francis-Henri Graffard last year. Looked an expensive purchase when well held on yard debut at Windsor but she did offer something to work on sent hurdling over C&D last month, not getting home after racing freely.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0811/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par14/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%15/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%9/11Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%13/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%14/09
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-471/100
3
7
33/1
Popalot silks

Miss C Foster

Popalot

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Pether's Moon - Pixiepot (Alflora)

B S Hughes70%P D Niven
3565
3.0

Showed some ability in bumpers but yet to make an impact over hurdles.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/1114/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/048/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/0528/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%26/11Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%14/04Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%8/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%28/05
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%1-838/100
4
5
100/1
Speechman silks

James and Susan Cookson

Speechman

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Kingman - Not Ready (More Than Ready)

Joe Williamson70%P A Kirby
No form2.0Class ↓3

Poor on the Flat nowadays so makes no appeal sent hurdling.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/078/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par29/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%31/07Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%27/08Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%29/09
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%6-974/100
5
6
12/1
Imperial Trooper silks

Mr Brian Verinder

Imperial Trooper

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Belardo - Oriental Step (Tamayuz)

Ian Power60%0/2J Candlish
53
3.0

Winner on the Flat though out of sorts in that sphere of late, including last time. Made little impression on hurdles bow but showed a lot more when third in novice at Worcester.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/048/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%20/04Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 6 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 38%22/05Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%16/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%25/07
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%2-943/100
8
9
100/1
Palavar silks

Mr Scott Lowther

Palavar

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Saxon Warrior - Snake Dancer (Golden Snake)

Callum BewleyD Bourke
7P
2.0

Showed some ability on the Flat for a couple of different yards but offered little both starts over hurdles in the spring.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/028/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par12/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par19/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par24/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 178y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 73%28/02Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 54%26/11Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%19/12Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%24/04
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-983/100