IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. worcester
  3. race-4

13:35 · Worcester

CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2mGoing TBCClass 43YO onlyTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
9/4
Earth Maid silks

Mr Robert Kirkland

Earth Maid

3yo Filly · 10-12

Dink - Gaia Du Gouet (Saddler Maker)

Harry Skelton80%D Skelton80%
No form3.0

Dink filly. Dam (h112) 2m hurdle winner. Of obvious interest on debut and appears to be stable's first string on jockey bookings.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish1st of 9100% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength88%
7
Top Pick1
12/1
Song Of The Stars silks

Mr Colm Donlon

Song Of The Stars

3yo Filly · 10-12

Ghaiyyath - Singing Sky (Oasis Dream)

Paul O'Brien60%Harry Derham
No form7.0Going 8.0

Progressive stayer on the Flat, opening her account at Lingfield in May before following up from 5 lb higher in 8-runner event at Nottingham (1¾m, soft) less than a fortnight later. Has since moved to a top yard (James Ferguson retired) and looks an interesting hurdling debutant.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/029/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 18%4/02Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%27/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%11/06
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-567/100
1
5
12/1
Affection silks

Mr D Pipe

Affection

3yo Filly · 10-12

Bow Creek - Fragrance (Rajsaman)

David Noonan0/1D Pipe
2
2.0Class ↓2Going 7.0

Ran close to her fairly useful best on stable debut on the Flat but did little to encourage sent hurdling at Newton Abbot back in June. Has finished down the field in 4 Flat handicaps since (latest in first-time cheekpieces) so best watched for now.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/0623/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%9/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%30/07Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%12/09Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%24/09
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-660/100
5
4
5/1
Miss Moffett silks

Mr Nick Skelton

Miss Moffett

3yo Filly · 10-12

Blue Bresil - Manly Dream (Highest Honor)

C J Todd60%D Skelton80%
No form3.0

Blue Bresil filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful hurdler/high-class chaser Nube Negra and fair chaser Noche Negra. Dam 10.5f winner in Spain. Seemingly yard's second string on jockey bookings.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish4th of 963% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength74%
8
3
10/1
Talka silks

Mr Jon Glews

Talka

3yo Filly · 10-12

Golden Horde - Taygeta (Almanzor)

Theo Gillard70%D McCain Jnr90%
No form3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Has one standout effort in France for M. Baratti and offered little on yard/handicap debut at Chester last month. That was presumably a pipe-opener for a campaign over hurdles so interesting to see how she fares in the market in a first-time tongue tie (has also had a breathing operation).

Class Advantage

24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/0416/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/056/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0619/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%24/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%16/05Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%6/06Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%19/09
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%4-954/100
9
6
4/1
We're Out Of Aces silks

Mr A J O'ryan

We're Out Of Aces

3yo Filly · 10-12

Walk In The Park - Blue Berlais (Saint Des Saints)

S Bowen70%G Elliott60%
6
2.0

Walk In The Park filly who showed some ability amidst inexperience when sixth of 13 in juvenile hurdle at Ballinrobe (2¼m, good) on debut last month. Bredy to stay well so the drop in trip surprising but she's open to improvement nonetheless.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 58%11/09
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%4-950/100
6
7
6/1
Sainte Colombe silks

Culverhill Racing Club Iii

Sainte Colombe

3yo Filly · 10-12

Saint Des Saints - Bal Celtique (Ballingarry)

C GethingsMrs J Williams
No form3.0

Saint Des Saints filly. Sister to fairly useful hurdler/very smart chaser Saint Segal, and half-sister to 3 winners, including dual bumper winner/smart hurdler Celtic Dino. Dam (c109/h118) winning hurdler/chaser in France. Market can guide expectations.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 925% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength68%
3
9
10/1
Guildhall Graduate silks

Mike Harris Racing & Katy Price Racing

Guildhall Graduate

3yo Filly · 10-12

Coulsty - Conservatoire (Dutch Art)

Shane Quinlan60%−3lbKaty Price
5
2.0

Modest maiden on Flat who went with little encouragement tried hurdling at Killarney in August. Watching brief advised having since left Gavin Patrick Cromwell.

Class Advantage

13/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par13/018/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%13/01Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%12/06Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 18%24/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%20/08
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%1-843/100
4
8
25/1
Miss Malone To You silks

Miss Kerry Lee

Miss Malone To You

3yo Filly · 10-12

Ulysses - Miss Brown To You (Fasliyev)

C O'Farrell60%Kerry Lee
No form2.0
Tongue strap

Down the field on all 4 Flat outings (latest after a breathing operation). Makes hurdling debut.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/1225/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0417/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/061/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%3/12Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%17/06Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%1/09
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-927/100