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13:20 · Sedgefield

Fairlight Studios At Sedgefield Racecourse Handicap Chase

3m 2f 59yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 85
1/1
Flashy Boy silks

Price & Mathias Partners

Flashy Boy

9yo Gelding · 11-5

Sageburg - Shining Lights (Moscow Society)

Charlie Price60%1/4R L Llewellyn70%
453123
7.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Improved when off the mark under Rules at Newton Abbot in August. Should probably have followed up back there following month (held back by a couple of significant errors) and might have found latest run coming too soon. Headgear can help with his jumping and probably still ahead of his mark.

Class Advantage

7/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/10 · mark par7/1019/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par22/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 59y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%7/10Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%20/08Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%18/09Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 33%22/09
Projected finish1st of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-370/100
4
2
OR 84
6/5
Henry Box Brown silks

Old Gold Racing 7

Henry Box Brown

9yo Gelding · 11-4

Getaway - Lough Coyne (Bob Back)

Adam Wedge60%1/17Mrs C Williams60%
46U616
5.0

Avoided mistakes for once when taking advantage of a career-low mark at Worcester (23f, good) in July, suited by way race developed. Failed to convince over this trip next time but that was on a rare start over hurdles following an 8-week break.

Class Advantage

14/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par14/1216/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 59y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%14/12Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%21/04Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%16/07Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-370/100
3
3
OR 85
12/1
Swingforthefence silks

Miss C Dolan

Swingforthefence

5yo Gelding · 11-5

Soldier Of Fortune - Sovereign Lass (Presenting)

Ian Power60%0/2J Candlish70%
9768U5
3.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Made no impact in maiden/novice hurdles and didn't take to chasing at all at Worcester 4 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/013/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 59y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%15/01Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 45%18/02Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 30%1/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 4
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-456/100
5
4
OR 73
16/1
Just Keeps Rolling silks

Mr Finian O Toole

Just Keeps Rolling

7yo Gelding · 10-7

Ol' Man River - Lucky Sorceress (Wizard King)

Jack Hogan60%0/2P A Kirby60%
3PPP96
2.0
Cheek pieces

Winning pointer but has shown nothing in 5 starts under Rules, including when upped in trip/sent chasing 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0826/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 59y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 11%15/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%26/09
Projected finish4th of 4
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-371/100