15:05 · Worcester

PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle

2mGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 98
9/4
Jollie Dame silks

Mr Ian Lawrence

5yo Mare · 12-0

No Risk At All - Brise Vendeenne (Dom Alco)

Harry Skelton80%0/2D Skelton60%
243334
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Fair form in bumpers but well beaten in 3 mares' novice hurdles back in the spring. Makes return/handicap debut and should make more of a splash here for her top stable.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/1116/01 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength64%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%20/11Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%20/02Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%31/03Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%11/04
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-283/100
3
2
OR 93
4/1
Calibos silks

The Calibos Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 11-8

Twilight Son - Falling Angel (Kylian)

G Sheehan60%0/2Miss J S Davis60%
43
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Fair 1¼m Flat winner who showed an aptitude for hurdling when fourth of 8 on stable debut at Huntingdon in early-March. Fared best of the also-rans without progressing from that initial effort at Market Rasen in May and more realistic chance now making a quick switch to handicap company.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/0822/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par30/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par1/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%4/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%12/09Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 57%1/03Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%8/05
Projected finish2nd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-382/100
10
3
OR 83
5/2
Estate Planning silks

Mr Simon James & Partner

5yo Gelding · 10-13

Elusive Pimpernel - Persian Memories (Indian Ridge)

Ben Jones60%0/8B J Llewellyn60%
684054
4.0
Cheek pieces

Long-standing maiden. Supported to capitalise on his slipping mark when beaten 17 lengths on return at Stratford in June. Back from further 4 months off with cheekpieces refitted, headgear previously making no difference to this tricky customer.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par16/1021/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par3/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/12 · mark par27/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par4/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%16/10Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%3/12Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%4/02Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%16/06
Projected finish3rd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-667/100
4
4
OR 89
8/1
I Heard A Rumour silks

Mr Dan Skelton

5yo Mare · 11-5

Getaway - Illwalktheline (Presenting)

C J Todd60%0/1D Skelton60%
U74
4.0

Chasing type on appearance and related to winners but no more than minor promise in trio of qualifying hurdle runs during second half of last season. Switch to handicaps in her favour on return and no surprise to see her do better for her leading yard (second string on jockey bookings).

Class Advantage

21/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0217/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/03projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%21/02Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%17/03
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%1-171/100
7
5
OR 87
16/1
Monark Wood silks

Hoof & Hustle Select

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Morpheus - Fulleren (Laveron)

Freddie Mitchell60%M Comley
0274
4.0

Runner-up in a claimer at Fontainebleau in November on his second and final start for David Cottin. Subsequently changed hands for €16,696 but tailed off on both starts for this yard earlier in the year. Equipment left off and big step forward needed on return/handicap debut.

Class Advantage

20/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/106/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/111/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/031/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 8%20/10Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%6/11Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%1/03Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%1/04
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-1125/100
6
7
OR 87
25/1
Billy Butcher silks

Mr Douglas Bradbury

8yo Gelding · 11-3

Mahler - Reillys Daughter (Diktat)

Lee Edwards0/3Dave Roberts
887646
4.0

Modest at best in bumpers but showed some ability remains returning from 23 months on the sidelines when sixth of 12 in maiden hurdle over C&D (good to soft) just under 4 weeks ago. Needs to take a step forward now handicapping.

Class Advantage

18/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/1115/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%18/11Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 60%24/04Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%9/10Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 55%10/09
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-664/100
5
6
OR 88
8/1
Thesoldiersminit silks

On The Rocks

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Soldier Of Fortune - Aweeminit (Arcadio)

Toby Wynne60%0/1S Allwood
78U735
4.0

Much improved when third on handicap bow at Market Rasen back in February but let down by his hurdling when fifth of 7 at Huntingdon (2m, soft) the following month. One to consider provided he's fully tuned up back from 7 months off.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/1012/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par1/03projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%15/10Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 13%12/11Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%14/12Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%1/02Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%1/03
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%3-1144/100
2
8
OR 94
25/1
Play On Court silks

Mr Mark James

5yo Gelding · 11-10

Court Cave - Running Wild (Anshan)

James Best60%0/2H Dickin
06P467
3.0

Has one standout effort and never figured on handicap debut back in May. Handicapper drops him 4 lb but difficult to know what to expect on return.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/1031/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par5/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%31/10Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 38%31/12Pos 4 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 77%17/03Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%2/04Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%5/05
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%1-944/100
9
9
OR 84
25/1
Famous Shoes silks

Mr C E Handford

5yo Gelding · 11-0

New Approach - Ship's Biscuit (Tiger Hill)

James Bowen60%N P Mulholland
9FPU5
3.0

Signs of ability on the Flat for Karl Burke but there have been very few positives to take from his efforts in this sphere so far. Makes return and every chance he could show much more now handicapping.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/0928/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par24/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/03projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 31%3/09Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%4/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%9/10Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%24/03
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%7-1169/100
11
10
OR 73
200/1
Delta Legend silks

Mr T G Williams

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Camelot - Delta Dreamer (Oasis Dream)

Megan Bevan−7lbS-J Davies
P680
2.0
Tongue strap

Twice a winner on the Flat (stays 1½m) in 2024 but below form last year and no promise on all 4 starts over hurdles (had breathing operation prior to latest).

Class Advantage

22/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/01 · mark par22/0118/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/02 · mark par18/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par28/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%22/01Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%18/04Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 13%17/06Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%15/09
Projected finish10th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%7-1077/100
8
11
OR 86
25/1
Finjimk silks

Felstead Partnership

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Sumbal - Bebinn (Brian Boru)

Kielan Woods60%0/1Nick Scholfield
P78800
2.0

Little impact in a bumper/trio of maiden hurdles in Ireland and it was a similar story on yard/handicap debut at Market Rasen 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/066/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%13/06Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%6/07Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 42%23/07Pos 17 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 11%1/08Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%26/09
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-1172/100