15:15 · Navan

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

1m 40yGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 78
5/1
Divine Legend silks

Exors of the Late J Connaughton

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 6

Blue Point - Angels Story (Galileo)

Ben Coen70%1/4J P Murtagh
574221
9.0Going 8.0

Confirmed previous promise when winning 7f maiden at Fairyhouse by 1½ lengths from Orellana, leading over 1f out and responding well. Open to further improvement now switched to handicaps and step back up to 1m won't be an issue. High on the shortlist.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/104/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%18/10Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%25/04Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 94%5/09Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-565/100
3
Market Fav4
OR 83
3/1
Sanctijude silks

Deegan Racing Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 3

Churchill - Byzantium (Dutch Art)

Declan McDonogh60%W McCreery
341741
7.0

Fairly useful filly who belatedly got off the mark in a 9-runner 1m maiden at Gowran in May and added another success when landing a 14-runner handicap at Punchestown last month by ½ length from Neo Smart. Up 5 lb but should remain competitive.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/044/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%22/04Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%20/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 40%19/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-474/100
1
3
OR 86
10/1
Pink Oxalis silks

Essam S

5yo Mare · 10-0 · Draw 8

Caravaggio - African Beat (Cape Cross)

Reese Holohan60%−5lbStephen Thorne60%
562566
3.0
Blinkers

Arrives in good order, posting yet another creditable effort when 2 lengths sixth of 18 to Rebel Wave in handicap at Leopardstown last time. Good-value conditional takes over and this represents a slight drop in grade. One to consider.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/0612/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par19/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par30/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par20/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%1/06Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%19/07Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%20/08Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-660/100
5
6
OR 79
4/1
Lady In Gold silks

Sights On Gold Two Partnership

3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 9

St Mark's Basilica - Al Kirana (Exceed And Excel)

J M Sheridan60%1/2J P O'Brien
81
6.0Going 8.0

Left debut form well behind to win 14-runner maiden at Dundalk (1m) in February. Not seen since, but still looked rough around the edges there so further improvement should be forthcoming on turf/handicap debut.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0120/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/02projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 42%23/01Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%20/02
Projected finish4th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%1-171/100
4
2
OR 78
10/1
Thrifty Of Digby silks

P Harty

5yo Mare · 9-6 · Draw 7

Profitable - Abstain (Araafa)

Scott McCullagh0/1Mrs J Harrington70%
11P320
6.0
Cheek pieces

Versatile mare took advantage of a falling mark at Roscommon prior to gamely following up at Gowran in June. Looked back at the top of her game when head second of 8 at Leopardstown in August but ran poorly last time. Very much the type to bounce back quickly.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par3/0518/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par12/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%3/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%20/08Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 24%12/09
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%2-852/100
2
5
OR 83
11/2
Expert Dancer silks

Maurice F Aherne

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 5

Expert Eye - Bedouin Dancer (Pivotal)

Andrew Slattery1/6A Slattery
333712
7.0Going 8.0

Confirmed previous promise with headgear quickly discarded when winning 13-runner maiden at Limerick (7f, soft) in June and should have finished closer when 4¼ lengths second of 15 to Dancing Saxon at Galway the following month. One to note back from a break.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/104/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%21/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%25/04Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 93%27/07
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%1-659/100
8
8
OR 68
12/1
Bang Bang silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 4

Sands Of Mali - Queen Jock (Repent)

Siobhan RutledgeN Meade
522949
4.0

Runner-up in a couple of Leopardstown maidens to start the season but has largely struggled since and will be vulnerable to any improvers now switched to handicaps with blinkers removed.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0815/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%3/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 91%4/06Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%1/08Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%2/09
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-842/100
7
7
OR 75
14/1
Red Autumn silks

Moyglare Stud Farm

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 2

Holy Roman Emperor - Afternoon Sunlight (Sea The Stars)

Chris Hayes60%1/6D K Weld60%
525447
3.0
Visor

Off the mark in Bellewstown maiden in July last year. Hasn't been seen to best effect all 3 starts in handicaps this season, left in a poor position the way the race unfolded when seventh of 8 at Killarney (1m, good) in July (visored). Handicapper given her a chance.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a24/071/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par23/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par22/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%23/09Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%4/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%13/07
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%4-960/100
9
9
OR 63
8/1
Thru And Thru silks

D Coogan

4yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1

Starspangledbanner - Aussie Opera (Aussie Rules)

Rory Mulligan60%0/1−5lbRory Devine
306003
4.0

Has failed to go on from a very good reappearance third at Naas, though ran best race since when 3 lengths third of 14 to Minaun View in handicap at Down Royal last time. This represents a step back up in grade, though.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par22/0315/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par4/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par21/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 40y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%22/03Pos 16 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 16 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%4/06Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 19%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 47%21/09Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 85%28/09
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-943/100