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13:45 · Navan

Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap

5f 180yGoing TBC2YO onlyTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
3
OR 64
4/1
The Drambling Man silks

Drambling Syndicate

The Drambling Man

2yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 1

Soldier's Call - Young Special (Fastnet Rock)

Julian Pietropaolo60%0/2−7lbKevin Coleman60%
696903
4.0
Cheek pieces

Much improved in first-time cheekpieces with third of 14 to Santo Parvenue in nursery at Naas (5f, good to soft) 11 days ago, though he hung right under pressure. Needs to back it up in retained headgear.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0531/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%19/05Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%2/07Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%5/08Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 85%17/09
Projected finish1st of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-187/100
6
4
OR 57
7/2
Docks silks

Declan Sheridan

Docks

2yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 10

Nando Parrado - Alice Girl (Oratorio)

Chris Hayes60%0/1P W Flynn
9002
5.0

Left previous efforts behind when ½-length second of 14 to Santo Parvenue in nursery at Naas last time. Should remain competitive despite 5 lb rise.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/0630/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0611/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0717/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 11%18/06Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%30/06Pos 17 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%17/09
Projected finish2nd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
89%1-277/100
1
Top Pick1
OR 68
6/1
Prince Of Peppard silks

Paul Hardy

Prince Of Peppard

2yo Colt · 9-12 · Draw 3

Starman - Peppard (Dansili)

Ben Coen70%0/4J P Murtagh60%
96742
5.0
Cheek pieces

Produced his best effort yet when chasing home a gambled-on stablemate in a 6f Fairyhouse nursery last month, and that form has been boosted by the winner following up off 9 lb higher. His own 3 lb rise looks more than fair in those circumstances, so another bold bid is expected.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0622/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par21/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 27%26/06Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 71%22/07Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 45%18/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%27/08Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%21/09
Projected finish3rd of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
78%1-1027/100
5
5
OR 58
12/1
Imply silks

Mrs John M Weld

Imply

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7

Elzaam - Suggest (Raven's Pass)

Rory Mulligan60%0/1−5lbC Weld
065
2.0

Mid-division at best in trio of 5f maidens. Type to do better now tackling nurseries.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0917/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0929/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%4/09Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 29%17/09Pos 5 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 64%29/09
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-177/100
4
Market Fav2
OR 59
11/4
Santo Parvenue silks

Dan Kiely

Santo Parvenue

2yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2

Soldier's Call - Royal Highness (Dream Ahead)

Nathan Crosse1/1E & P Harty60%
44713
6.0Going 8.0

Gelded and much improved in first-time blinkers to bag 14-runner nursery at Naas (5f, good to soft) in September. Backed that up when 3¼ lengths third of 6 to Premier View in similar event at Down Royal 9 days ago. Blinkers removed.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/043/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 57%3/04Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%3/05Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%2/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%17/09Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 60%28/09
Projected finish5th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
56%2-1038/100
8
8
OR 48
10/1
Siege Of Tyre silks

W Rogers

Siege Of Tyre

2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 8

Alkumait - Wind Inher Sleeves (Speightstown)

Andrew Slattery0/1K P Cotter
0806
2.0

Down the field in varied events, though once again left the impression she had more to offer when 5¼ lengths sixth of 14 to Santo Parvenue in nursery at Naas last time. Races from 1 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0616/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/079/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/0817/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 31%14/06Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 30%16/07Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 8%9/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 62%17/09
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
44%1-563/100
7
9
OR 56
8/1
Lily Bear silks

Fenpark Partnership

Lily Bear

2yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 4

Kodi Bear - Aoife Alainn (Dr Fong)

Wayne Lordan60%0/1M C Grassick
7005
2.0
Hood

Runner-up in a barrier trial. Made more impact than in maidens albeit with showing any improvement when 5¼-length fifth of 14 on nursery bow at Naas (5f) 20 days ago.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0623/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/073/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/0817/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%11/06Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%23/07Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%3/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 69%17/09
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-752/100
9
6
OR 46
50/1
Mickian Thomas silks

Trevor Doyle

Mickian Thomas

2yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 9

Alkumait - Messa Concertata (Ardad)

Reese Holohan60%−5lbRory Devine60%
060
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Well beaten all 3 starts in maidens. Drops to 5f for the first time and wears first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut. Races from 3 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0827/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a27/0815/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 12%16/08Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%27/08Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish8th of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
22%10-1077/100
2
7
OR 66
14/1
Celestial Crown silks

Mrs Orla Murtagh

Celestial Crown

2yo Filly · 9-10 · Draw 6

Naval Crown - Moment Of Silence (Slade Power)

Seamie HeffernanJ P Murtagh
278788
2.0

Promising debut second at Cork (5f). In nothing like the same form since, though, including in handicaps on last 2 starts.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0424/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par16/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par5/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%4/04Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%4/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%16/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%5/09
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
11%2-1039/100
10
10
OR 46
33/1
Rathbran Lady silks

F Dardis

Rathbran Lady

2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 5

Arizona - Ammolite (Profitable)

Wesley Joyce0/5M Mulvany
007505
2.0

Maiden who has made little impact in nurseries. Races from 3 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/0815/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par28/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 15%9/08Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%27/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%17/09Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%28/09
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%7-1072/100