4

Lady Firefoot

8yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 95

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength17%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Belmont At The Big A 05/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 96 · 1m3f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 96 par5/10C1OR 96C1 @ Aqueduct 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 104 · 1m3f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 104 parC0 @ Gulfstream 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f Fas 1191/01C?C6 @ Gulfstream 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 104 parC1 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 100 · 1m3f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 100 par1/05C1OR 100C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 98 · 1m3f Fm 121 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 98 par21/06C6OR 98C6 @ Saratoga 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m1f Fm 126 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Saratoga 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m1f110y Fm 126 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 93 par4/09C6OR 93projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Saratoga?8th8th0
2026-08-05Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2026-06-12Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0
2026-05-01Belmont At The Big A?5th-1th+5
2026-02-06Gulfstream?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/106/0221/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20258th50/10%22%+0.22
08/11/20259th50/10%11%+0.11
01/01/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
06/02/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
01/05/20265th25/10%0%0.00
12/06/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
21/06/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
05/08/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
04/09/20268th20/10%22%+0.22