1
All The Luck
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 66
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |