Gypsy Dreaming
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |