Strategicoperation

3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 89

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▬

Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.2

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-19	Belmont Park	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-27	Belmont At The Big A	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-06-14	Belmont At The Big A	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-06-06	Saratoga	?	12th	9th	+3	1.0
2026-04-29	Tampa Bay Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 60/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength97%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/04/2026	1st	11/4	86%	100%	+0.14
06/06/2026	12th	100/1	0%	8%	+0.08
14/06/2026	4th	20/1	0%	57%	+0.57
27/06/2026	8th	14/1	26%	13%	-0.14
19/09/2026	4th	16/1	16%	67%	+0.51