Urgency
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 93
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 2f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |