Audible Johnny
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +42.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |