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9

Negril Badness

2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 33

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 06/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS6/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Saratoga?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength11%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20268th40/10%22%+0.22