7
Back In The Saddle
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength2%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 26/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |