Debt Limit
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 17/05/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |