English Law
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 11 · OR 100
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |