6

Final Denile

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 95

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 19/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark19/06/2025 · OR 83 par19/06C8OR 83C7 @ Saratoga 17/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 82 · 1m 125 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 82 parC7 @ Saratoga 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 87 · 1m110y Gd 125 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 87 par14/08C7OR 87C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 22/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m Gd 124 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 86 parC7 @ Aqueduct 14/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 93 par14/11C7OR 93C7 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 92 · 1m1f110y Fm 126 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 92 par26/06C7OR 92C7 @ Saratoga 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 93 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Saratoga 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 126 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 94 par27/08C7OR 94projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Saratoga?1st1st0
2026-08-02Saratoga?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2026-06-07Saratoga?6th6th0
2025-11-14Aqueduct?2nd2nd0
2025-10-22Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0622/1026/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 47/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
17/07/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
14/08/20252nd5/696%50%-0.46
22/10/20256th7/163%44%-0.19
14/11/20252nd12/137%90%+0.53
07/06/20266th5/174%55%-0.19
26/06/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
02/08/20263rd15/890%80%-0.10
27/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18