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4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 19/09/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |