10
Vintage Vino
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 97
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 61/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |