Big Brooklyn

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 11 · OR 71

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▲1

Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.6

Today:

Class gap: -1.1

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-04	Saratoga	?	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-08-15	Saratoga	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-07-19	Saratoga	?	1st	3rd	−2	6.6
2026-06-20	Belmont At The Big A	?	5th	7th	−2	2.6
2026-05-09	Belmont At The Big A	?	8th	7th	+1	2.6
2026-03-27	Aqueduct	?	3rd	5th	−2	4.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength72%

Delivery trend +9.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/01/2026	2nd	7/2	82%	80%	-0.02
15/02/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	67%	-0.07
01/03/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	67%	-0.07
27/03/2026	3rd	15/2	61%	67%	+0.06
09/05/2026	8th	40/1	0%	22%	+0.22
20/06/2026	5th	10/1	47%	50%	+0.03
19/07/2026	1st	25/1	0%	100%	+1.00
15/08/2026	5th	25/1	0%	33%	+0.33
04/09/2026	2nd	14/1	26%	89%	+0.63