8
Come Full Circle
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |