3
Dinner Royale
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 76
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-07-06 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |