5
How Much Is Enough
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +34.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |