1
Salt Spartan
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Belmont Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 61/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 24/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |