Takahama
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 63
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |